You’ve probably all heard the conjecture: If Donald Trump loses the 2020 election, he could be subject to criminal charges — possibly related to tax fraud, tax evasion, or dozens of other shady acts committed while in office. This could be the reason why he’s trying to sow doubt about the legitimacy of the mail-in vote (even though he uses it himself). He wants to throw away everything after Election Day so that the courts will side with him and keep him safe in office for another four years.
It’s not difficult to forecast a landslide Biden win right now. He’s up by double digits. Trump is taking other Republicans down with him, and Fivethirtyeight’s forecast even suggests that if he loses the presidential race, then the opportunity for Democrats to slide in additional House and Senate seats increases as well.
Here’s the problem: there’s a remarkably easy — and legal — path for Trump to not only “steal” the American election without winning either the popular vote or electoral college, but also to escape criminal prosecution in the event he loses. We’ll ignore the first scenario for now, but what that means is that Trump might not be trying to win as hard as some people think.
For now, let’s take on the second scenario: Trump loses by a wide margin and must leave office without any great turmoil erupting in his wake. If you were president and knew you could be prosecuted, what would you do? Well, history has already provided us with an example — and that’s why even Trump wouldn’t be stupid enough to let himself go to jail when he could do one simple thing: resign. Just like Nixon did.
In the days after such a resignation, Pence would undoubtedly take the oath of office. One of his first acts as president would be to pardon Trump for any and all crimes committed before or during his tenure as president. It’s as easy as that!